Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.000743 0.000774 0.000805 0.000838 0.000874 0.000910 0.000951
2025-10-26 0.000681 0.000725 0.000771 0.000823 0.000880 0.000941 0.001011
2025-11-02 0.000643 0.000697 0.000755 0.000822 0.000898 0.000982 0.001083
2025-11-09 0.000606 0.000666 0.000732 0.000811 0.000902 0.001006 0.001133
2025-11-16 0.000575 0.000640 0.000713 0.000801 0.000905 0.001026 0.001179
2025-11-23 0.000562 0.000633 0.000713 0.000812 0.000933 0.001076 0.001262
2025-11-30 0.000546 0.000620 0.000706 0.000814 0.000948 0.001110 0.001326
2025-12-07 0.000524 0.000601 0.000690 0.000804 0.000947 0.001124 0.001364
2025-12-14 0.000504 0.000582 0.000674 0.000792 0.000943 0.001132 0.001395
2025-12-21 0.000488 0.000567 0.000662 0.000785 0.000944 0.001147 0.001434
2025-12-28 0.000462 0.000540 0.000632 0.000754 0.000914 0.001119 0.001413
2026-01-04 0.000449 0.000528 0.000622 0.000748 0.000914 0.001131 0.001447
2026-01-11 0.000438 0.000517 0.000614 0.000745 0.000919 0.001150 0.001493
2026-01-18 0.000425 0.000505 0.000604 0.000737 0.000918 0.001161 0.001528
2026-01-25 0.000418 0.000499 0.000601 0.000739 0.000929 0.001190 0.001590
2026-02-01 0.000406 0.000488 0.000590 0.000731 0.000926 0.001197 0.001621
2026-02-08 0.000395 0.000477 0.000579 0.000722 0.000923 0.001204 0.001650
2026-02-15 0.000393 0.000476 0.000583 0.000733 0.000946 0.001249 0.001743
2026-02-22 0.000387 0.000471 0.000580 0.000735 0.000956 0.001278 0.001810
2026-03-01 0.000377 0.000461 0.000570 0.000726 0.000951 0.001281 0.001836
2026-03-08 0.000367 0.000451 0.000559 0.000715 0.000943 0.001281 0.001855
2026-03-15 0.000359 0.000443 0.000551 0.000709 0.000942 0.001289 0.001889
2026-03-22 0.000344 0.000425 0.000530 0.000683 0.000909 0.001248 0.001837